UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 0-4
Dinaburg vs Krylia Sovetov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 0
DIN
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
DIN
1 - 0
ZAL
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DIN
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 0
DIN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
FCS
2 - 1
DIN
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
1 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 0
DIN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2002 |
ROT
2 - 0
KRS
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
KRS
4 - 0
ANZ
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
KRS
1 - 0
LOK
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |