Dinaburg vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
DIN
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1996 |
DIN
0 - 4
FCS
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
DIN
4 - 0
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1996 |
FKJ
1 - 1
DIN
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1996 |
DIN
1 - 2
FKD
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
DIN
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |