Dijon II vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+111%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
6º
6º
6
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dijon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
DIJ
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 1
ASP
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 3
DIJ
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
IVR
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
FCG
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
AUX
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
TRO
9%
16%
76%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
BFC
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |