Dijon FCO vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dijon FCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
STR
0 - 0
DIJ
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 5
DIJ
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
ANG
2 - 0
DIJ
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
DIJ
1 - 1
TRO
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
CLE
1 - 1
DIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
HYE
3 - 1
VIL
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORL
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MON
1 - 2
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAB
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |