Ligue 1 - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 4-2
Dijon FCO vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dijon FCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 1
DIJ
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
DIJ
2 - 1
TFC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PSG
4 - 0
DIJ
88%
9%
3%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DIJ
2 - 1
STR
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAN
3 - 0
DIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 1
DIJ
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
PFC
1 - 1
LEN
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
LEN
5 - 2
ORL
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
LEN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |