De Dijk vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
78.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Dijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 1
DED
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 3
DED
25%
22%
53%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DED
0 - 3
LIS
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KOZ
4 - 1
DED
30%
23%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DED
6 - 1
ACH
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FEY
1 - 4
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
78%
14%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 5
AJA
8%
17%
76%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |