Digenis Morphou vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 0
DIG
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DIG
3 - 0
ENA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIG
0 - 2
ENO
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ENA
0 - 1
DIG
30%
25%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
DIG
0 - 1
AYI
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ERM
1 - 3
PAE
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 1
ERM
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ERM
1 - 3
ENA
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AYI
6 - 3
ERM
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 2
ASI
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |