Difaâ El Jadida vs Chabab Benguerir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
4º
2º
35
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Difaâ El Jadida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
DIF
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ITM
0 - 0
DIF
25%
27%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROZ
1 - 1
DIF
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
4 - 2
MEK
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chabab Benguerir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CBG
0 - 1
ITM
42%
30%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
CBG
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CBG
0 - 0
ROZ
25%
30%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MEK
1 - 0
CBG
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CBG
3 - 1
STM
33%
31%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |