Dietkirchen vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
16º
18º
18º
63
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dietkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
DIE
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 3
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 2
GIE
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
4 - 1
DIE
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
WAL
28%
21%
52%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 1
VIK
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
2 - 1
BAY
57%
22%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 6
BAY
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 1
RWW
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |