Diegem Sport vs Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
16º
9º
53
4º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diegem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEP
2 - 2
DIE
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 2
DIE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
DIE
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
BOC
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
LYR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
TON
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TON
2 - 1
BWI
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RCL
2 - 6
TON
19%
22%
58%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TON
2 - 3
KSC
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |