Diegem Sport vs KFC Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
15º
5º
3
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diegem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
BED
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 1
DIE
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 3
GEN
21%
21%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
ENT
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 0
EHM
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
LIL
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 0
TIS
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
LIL
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |