Diegem Sport vs KFC Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
16º
9º
46
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diegem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 1
LYR
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 1
DIE
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
0 - 4
RUP
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 4
LON
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
DIE
2 - 0
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 2
RAC
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BWI
0 - 2
LIL
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 3
HEI
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
EMU
1 - 1
LIL
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
3 - 1
LOR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |