Diefflen vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
16º
10º
15
10º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
2 - 2
MEC
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
DIE
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 2
VHE
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 2
DIE
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
5 - 6
KAI
16%
19%
66%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 1
ARL
34%
21%
46%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 1
AUE
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 5
IDA
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 3
AUE
75%
15%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 1
EPP
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |