Diefflen vs Eppelborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
8º
12
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 4
HOM
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 2
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
WWO
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
DIE
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DIE
2 - 2
SPV
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
EPP
6 - 1
SVB
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VPN
2 - 5
EPP
11%
15%
74%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EPP
5 - 0
ELV
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DJK
5 - 3
EPP
15%
17%
68%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EPP
4 - 0
TUS
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |