Diefflen vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
8º
6
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
2 - 2
DIE
15%
16%
69%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 4
EPP
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 4
HOM
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 2
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
WWO
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 1
MEC
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
ARL
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 4
PFE
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WWO
0 - 3
ARL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARL
3 - 8
KAI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |