CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 0-6
Diaraf vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
DIA
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DJO
1 - 1
DIA
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DIA
3 - 0
DJO
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GPA
0 - 1
DIA
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DIA
1 - 1
GPA
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
EGS
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
DIA
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 0
CAB
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 0
ESP
10%
18%
73%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
ASP
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | 0 |