CAF Champions Last 16
Global 4-1
Diaraf vs Djoliba AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GPA
0 - 1
DIA
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DIA
1 - 1
GPA
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
DIA
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
DIA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ENY
2 - 0
DIA
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Djoliba AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUG
0 - 0
DJO
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ONZ
1 - 4
DJO
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DJO
2 - 0
EAS
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAM
0 - 0
DJO
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 2
DJO
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |