Devonport City vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
DEV
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DEV
2 - 2
KIN
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CZF
2 - 3
DEV
5%
11%
85%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DEV
5 - 0
ROF
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
DEV
29%
22%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
WES
1 - 2
WPH
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
WPH
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 0
WES
44%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |