Devonport City vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
DEV
4 - 0
NOR
87%
9%
3%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DEV
0 - 2
OLY
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HOB
3 - 2
DEV
44%
21%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 0
DEV
5%
12%
84%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 0
DEV
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
5 - 0
KIN
93%
6%
2%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 3
SOU
4%
10%
86%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 1
CLA
95%
4%
1%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 2
OLY
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 0
DEV
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |