Devonport City vs Launceston United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
4º
3º
3
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 6
DEV
5%
11%
84%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
DEV
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
KIN
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
DEV
32%
23%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 0
ROF
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Launceston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 7
GLE
7%
12%
81%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 5
ROF
15%
16%
69%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 6
KIN
7%
11%
81%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
7%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 3
CZF
23%
20%
57%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |