Devonport City vs Launceston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
4º
3º
31
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 6
DEV
7%
12%
81%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 4
DEV
10%
14%
76%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 1
GLE
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KIN
0 - 0
DEV
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 1
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
GLE
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ROF
0 - 1
LAU
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
SOU
7%
13%
81%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 6
LAU
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 1
CZF
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |