Devonport City vs Clarence Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
4º
3º
11
6º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
0 - 2
SOU
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
KIN
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
DEV
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
4 - 3
DEV
13%
17%
71%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 0
SOU
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Clarence Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CZF
5 - 2
ROF
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 0
CZF
80%
12%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 3
CZF
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 2
CZF
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CZF
2 - 5
KIN
13%
15%
72%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |