Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Deusto vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.5%
+6
2.5%
5-0
6.3%
+5
6.3%
4-0
12.8%
+4
12.8%
3-0
21.1%
+3
21.1%
2-0
26%
+2
26%
1-0
21.3%
+1
21.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
0
8.7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
LON
1 - 3
DEU
61%
24%
16%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
DEU
1 - 1
EIB
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
DEU
2 - 3
SDA
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ESC
2 - 2
DEU
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
DEU
2 - 3
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
54%
26%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
SAB
2 - 2
AUR
62%
22%
15%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
AUR
0 - 2
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
MUT
1 - 2
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ARE
0 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
15%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |