Deurne vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deurne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DEU
0 - 2
NUE
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 3
DEU
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DEU
0 - 1
EHC
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
DEU
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DEU
6 - 0
EHC
30%
26%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +4 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FCE
2 - 0
VVV
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
JON
1 - 2
FCE
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FCE
5 - 0
FCO
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
HEL
5 - 2
FCE
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |