Detroit City vs Stumptown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
BOB
0 - 4
DET
11%
17%
73%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DET
2 - 1
NAM
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
DET
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 1
DET
6%
13%
81%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
DET
3 - 0
SAD
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Stumptown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 2
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
BOB
58%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BOB
1 - 1
STA
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
MSF
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
CUS
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |