Detroit City vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DET
1 - 0
NMU
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EPL
0 - 0
DET
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DET
1 - 1
HAA
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DET
0 - 1
TUL
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 3
DET
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TUL
0 - 1
LOU
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 2
CFC
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 6
LOU
30%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |