DETO Twenterand vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DETO Twenterand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
DET
83%
12%
6%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DET
1 - 1
JOD
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IJS
2 - 0
DET
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DET
0 - 1
NOO
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GVV
3 - 0
DET
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 3
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
68%
18%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
NOO
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |