Desportivo Mirandês vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Mirandês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MIR
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 0
PED
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
MIR
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MIR
11 - 0
SCV
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SEN
2 - 0
MIR
47%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
11%
22%
67%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SCF
4 - 2
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
TOR
15%
22%
64%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |