Desportivo de Nacala vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
DES
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
COS
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
DES
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DES
3 - 2
TEX
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BTF
1 - 2
DES
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
HCB
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
BBM
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
FER
27%
30%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |