Desportivo Brasil vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
DES
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
DES
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DES
0 - 1
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 2
DES
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
DES
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
USA
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
GRE
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
USA
35%
27%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |