Desportivo Brasil vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
DES
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 2
DES
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DES
6 - 1
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DES
1 - 3
VEL
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 3
DES
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 3
BAT
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
VEL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |