Desportivo Brasil vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SCS
2 - 0
DES
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
DES
0 - 1
TAU
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DES
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
DES
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
DES
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
BER
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
32%
27%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
71%
20%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 1
SAO
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |