Paulista A3 Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Desportivo Brasil vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
DES
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DES
3 - 2
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 0
DES
20%
26%
55%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
DES
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
BAT
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |