Desportivo Brasil vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 3
DES
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RBB
3 - 1
DES
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
DES
1 - 1
FER
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 0
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |