Desportivo Brasil vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
DES
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
DES
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 1
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
DES
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
BER
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
USA
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
DES
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 0
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |