Desportivo Brasil vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 0
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
DES
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DES
0 - 0
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DES
2 - 2
RBB
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 0
DES
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
RBB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
INT
0 - 2
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 3
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |