Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Desportivo Brasil vs Catanduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
BAN
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
DES
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
VOT
41%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DES
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAT
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VOT
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |