Desportivo Brasil U20 vs Bahia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
64.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
DES
2 - 2
COR
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
DES
2 - 2
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
DES
3 - 0
CDB
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
DES
2 - 2
AME
12%
16%
72%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
DES
3 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
3 - 0
BAH
6%
16%
78%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAH
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
BAH
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
GRE
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |