Desportivo Aves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GFC
4 - 2
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 4
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCF
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 4
FAT
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
OLI
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |