Desportivo Aves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VIZ
0 - 2
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 0
SPC
58%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 0
SCF
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SCF
3 - 1
AVE
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 0
BOA
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
VAR
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
GON
2 - 2
VAR
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |