Desportivo Aves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PEN
4 - 4
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 0
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 0
POR
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
FEI
2 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SPC
2 - 1
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCM
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OVA
4 - 1
VAR
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |