Desportivo Aves vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
UNM
1 - 0
AVE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ACV
3 - 0
AVE
37%
30%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
TON
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
AVE
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 2
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
PEN
34%
27%
38%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 3
POR
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BMA
1 - 0
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |