Desportivo Aves vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVE
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FEI
0 - 3
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 2
OLH
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 2
LEX
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 3
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
5 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |