Desportivo Aves vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 2
AVE
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
FEL
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
RIO
0 - 0
ALV
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
RIO
4 - 2
CAM
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 1
OLI
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
OVA
1 - 2
RIO
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |