Desportivo Aves vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TON
1 - 2
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
UNM
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
TON
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
LEX
50%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UNM
1 - 1
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
BEL
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
POR
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |