Desportivo Aves vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TON
1 - 2
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
UNM
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
NAV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
NAV
36%
28%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
PEN
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
POR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |