Desportivo Aves vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 0
AVE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
AVE
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
ATL
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
LEX
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |