Desportivo Aves vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
AVE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
FAT
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
3 - 2
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
VST
3 - 1
PEN
55%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 2
SCF
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |