Desportivo Aves vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 0
AVE
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
SAL
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
VST
0 - 0
PEN
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
OVA
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |