Desportivo Aves vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 2
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAÇ
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FEI
1 - 5
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 1
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
OVA
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
OVA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
OVA
4 - 1
FEI
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
OVA
1 - 1
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |